Termsslug: negative-ev

Negative EV

负期望值

A state where continuing to honor a contract yields negative expected value under current market conditions, making repricing mo

Curated Intelligence

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Rohan Paul (@rohanpaul_ai)T2·Infra
58 pts
Chamath: Doubling Compute Spot Prices Could Force SpaceX-Anthropic Deal Repricing

Speaking on the All-In Podcast, Chamath argued that if data center scarcity drives spot compute prices up 2x to 3x, the long-term SpaceX-Anthropic compute offtake would turn negative-EV and force a repricing via its 90-day exit clause, regardless of the relationship between the two firms. The claim frames compute scarcity as a direct repricing and contract-credit risk for long-term GPU deals.