Hacker News AIT2·68 pts
- AI neolabs face extreme pressure to deliver both research breakthroughs and venture-scale businesses, resulting in very low success rates (~1 in 10,000).
- Frontier labs prioritize scaling proven methods (compute, data pipelines) over high-risk new paradigms.
- Proposes adopting pharma-style risk pricing mechanisms to value breakthrough research and align incentives across labs, startups, and investors.